Music Retail Graphs

Here’s a really cool set of graphs from Hypebot (read my thoughts below):

MusicRetail R7 Mint Music Retail Graphs

Physical vs Digital:

16% growth in the past two years, wow.  Part of me is still surprised that physical products still outsell digital products.  The other part of me realizes that labels seem to do everything they can to prevent themselves from making money in the digital realm, so it’s not that surprising that physical products still provide most of their income.  Their only hope is that they open up to digital, learn how to make money with it, and reap the benefits.

Digital Retailer Market Share:

No surprise here.  iTunes rules the roost.  I can’t wait to see this chart the year after Spotify gets here.  I bet it will take a sizeable chunk of this chart.  For now, I’ll have to check out this “Other” store though, they seem to doing quite well.  (j/k)

Monthly Transactions Per User:

I really have to wonder if the variable pricing thing has anything to do with the chart going up.  The new iPhone 3GS also came out in July.  In any case, even the modest boost in Rhapsody‘s numbers show that people are very interested in music, we jsut need to have access to it.

Spending:

Simple version:

Subscription services have a steady, predictable, going-along-with-the-pricing-plans numbers here.  Napster lost a bunch of customers while Rhapsody and eMusic gained.

iTunes has the lowest spending per transaction, but has had a slight growth per user.  I’m betting $.69 to $1.29 per track is too high of a price point, otherwise their numbers would be higher in both categories.

FYE and CD Baby have the highest per transaction numbers because people are forced to buy the entire CD at retail prices.  You’ll notice people aren’t spending as much there as before.

The Monetization of Mimi

While Mariah Carey is one of the biggest selling artists of recent years, I can’t imagine this will work out well for her. Her label, Island Def Jam, is putting together a mini-magazine, co-produced by Elle magazine, that will go along with her CD, which not only features the lyrics from the songs, interviews, and pictures, but also ads from companies that have a relationship with Mariah. While I think the magazine idea itself is an acceptable idea, the ads are flat-out lame. Even if the ads were very relevant to me, I wouldn’t want them as part of my CD packaging. I agree with Lefsetz on this one, it’s bad enough that she won’t put in the effort to make better music, but now she’s going to shove products down her fans throats.  Shameless.

I don’t have a problem with the magazine idea as a whole, I think it could make the physical product worth buying. Of course, if an artist is truly connecting with their audience, anything that could go into this magazine would have been released online as it happened.

Surprised by Pandora

Recently, Pandora announced new requirements for artists to get added to their radio streaming and recommendation service. One of the new requirements was that artists would need to sell their physical CDs through the Amazon Advantage Program, which costs $29.95. This means artists, like myself, who don’t currently have any physical CDs would not be allowed into the Pandora system. Bruce Hougton’s blog, Hypebot, posted the news and a poll to gauge what his readers thought about this development. 55.7% of the responders had a negative reaction, so Bruce sent a letter to Pandora asking for a response. Pandora’s CEO, Tim Westergren, posted a response to Bruce, but several of us weren’t quite satisfied with his response and left comments asking for further explanation.

I was happily surprised to check the post later and find a personal response from Tim answering my concerns directly.  How many times do you get an answer directly from a well-known company’s CEO?  Kudos to Pandora for having a CEO that cares enough to have a conversation with artists.

Rockin’ the Vibe Dial

Check out my latest video about working at Vibe Dial Studio.

Pardon My French

I read this article on Hypebot today and I can’t help saying: WTF??!?!

It appears that performance rights organizations (PROs), ASCAP, BMI, & SESAC, are suing AT&T Mobile over their use of the 30 second clips of songs in order to sell said songs.  These are the same clips that iTunes, Amazon, and pretty much every other digital store use.  The PROs want royalties paid on every single play of those clips, which, if they win, would be billable to all digital stores.

Does anyone else see a problem with this?  While I understand that they are fighting for their writers and all that, why can’t there be a more sensible way of doing this?  Collecting these ridiculous fees from every digital store will mean that the stores have to increase prices, which will directly translate to fewer sales, which will hurt the labels, artists, and writers because they will make less money.  Idiots!

I think I know what’s behind all this though.  The music industry is reeling from the change of power.  They used to tell everyone how, when, and where they can consume entertainment.  Since the dawn of Napster, the iPod, and Myspace, this has changed to the consumer deciding when, where, and how.  Which means labels loose tons of money from not selling whole CDs, but rather singles.  They want their power back.    They attack Net Neutralilty to get rid of file trading (as if that would work).  They attack internet radio (to prevent people from hearing music from just about anywhere).  They push for insane powers from Congress (think DCMA).  They attack terrestrial radio by demanding fees for what amounts to advertising for them.  Then they demand royalties from clips that sell their products.  I swear, some day, they will demand royalties from people who whistle melodies while working or walking down the street.  The idea being, if they can undo all this change and put things back to the way it was (with brick & mortor stores, etc), then they will make tons of money.

One problem: the cat’s already out of the bag.  Sorry guys, but you need to adjust.  Find an innovative way to make money or you will simply die out.  This is the last, desperate screams from an industry that has a terminal disease and is in it’s death throes.  So here are some solutions for you Muzz Buzz, in case you’re reading:

Focus on the fan to artist relationship.  Quit trying to squeeze every last dime of out people, just let them get to know the artists, what they are about, etc and these people will throw money at you.

Become the filter.  It used to be that labels were the filter to all things good.  They picked the cream of the crop, put them out there and everyone knew it was the best stuff around.  Now, labels are a joke.  They sign people who honestly can’t sing and make them into stars.  They put out mediocre bands and let the truly talented ones go indie.  Focus on the talent aspect of music again.  Combined with #1, this an unbeatable formula.  People flock to artists they trust/know who are truly talented.

Learn where to charge for stuff.  Greed always gets the best of these guys and they want to charge for everything (see today’s story as an example).  However, the smart people will realize that if you charge for certain things, yet give the rest away, it will result in huge sums of money coming your way.  The current plan is just going to drive people towards file trading and excludes the industry from making any money at all.  Instead, license the crap our of anything that will distribute your product.  License Bittorrent.  License the ISPs.  License everything.  Make it cheap though.  People want music, but your 80′s & 90′s prices are simply too much.  When the world went digital, prices plumeted.  You just didn’t know it.  Now, people can get whatever they want for free (file trading).  So license this stuff so at least you make SOMETHING from it.  But since it’s digital, its not of hig quality, therefore not worth much.  5 cents per track is reasonable.

Fish your head out of your a$$.  I’ll admit, this probably won’t happen.  Just like most of the ones bove probably won’t happen either.  It was worth a shot.

Downloads are coming…

cNet is running an article about an EMI label, Caroline Records, that brings foreign music stars to the US.  They are starting a new trend with promo though, instead of sending out thousands of CDs (and causing issues like my other post), they allow the reviewers access to a secure website where they can listen to the songs.  The coolest part is they don’t print up any CD’s until the download demand is high enough.

So a major label is dumping the disc in favor of downloads, at least, until the artist has enough demand to warrant a disc.  It’s easy to see that soon, they won’t even print up a disc because they realize it’s easier to just leave it all digital and they can make more money that way.  Now if they would just do away with DRM altogether…

Universal suing over promo CDs

Universal gives out a promo disc to a reviewer.  That reviewer, at some point, dumps the disc at a local record store.  Troy Augusto, of Roastbeast Music Collectibles, buys them up and sells them as collectibles on eBay.  Universal thinks this infringes on their right of distribution.  The law called “First Sale” is pretty clear, Universal gave the discs to a reviewer, disc jockey, etc, which means that disc is now the property of the person, not Universal.  The same would be true if the someone went to a store and purchased the disc.  That new owner can do what they like with it, including give it to a friend, keep it forever, sell to a used CD store, or throw it away.  Universal contends that their sticker that says “not for resale” constitutes a contract and therefore cannot be resold, as per the sticker’s “agreement”.

Thankfully, the EFF is taking Universal to court over the matter, since Universal is suing Troy and I believe they will win without even having a court date.  This business just gets more and more ridiculous by the day.  I’m just waiting until they try to license my head’s radio station, especially when I get some song stuck in there and they demand thousands of dollars because it player 8,000 times in one day.

Universal uses eco-friendly CD packaging

I read this story this week and kinda shrugged about it. So what? Then I got a copy of Apple’s Leopard and discovered it had this very same packaging. Apple’s discs normally come in a CD sleeve, which I then remove from the box, label, and stick in a file folder for that computer. This packaging was built right into the box, so it presented a small challenge. Small, since I just cut the CD holder part away from the box and viola, problem solved. I do really like the new packaging though. It’s just efficient enough to hold the CD in, yet allow me to easily pull it back out, without any broken plastic tines or cracked cases, and its only slightly thicker than a sleeve (good for filing).

I read the story on hypebot and I opened it up again today to post the link (above). Overall, while it’s great that Universal is moving to an eco-friendly packaging, I fully agree with a commenter on the hypebot article. If Universal was truly interested in “being green”, they’d do away with additional CDs and only offer digital downloads, which are the greenest form of music distribution anyway. However, since some people have to have a physical copy, this at least presents a convince-the-suburbanites-we’re-eco-friendly way of packaging a disc. It could have actually helped if they had made this move ten years ago though. Either way, if I ever print a physical CD, I’ll check into using this packaging too.

iTunes is #1

iTunes has passed Walmart to become the biggest distributor of music, period. It’s the number one digital distributor and the number one overall distributor. Big stuff.

iTunes accounts for 19% of all the music sold today, compared to Walmart’s 15%. The next closest digital distributor is Rhapsody, with 1% (although Amazon is at 6%, but that’s a combination of digital and physical CD sales). Digital downloads, in general, account for 30% of all music sold.

Interesting and telling stat: 48% of teenagers didn’t buy a single CD last year. I think that’s only going to increase and digital sales will become one of the only ways to buy music (unless you buy a CD/memory stick/some-new-format directly from the band at a show).

I think the next thing will be artists selling download cards at shows instead of discs. I’ve been toying with the idea myself. It just seems to make so much more sense, ya know? The fan buys the card for the same amount as a CD or an album download, they go home, load up iTunes/Amazon/artist’s site/wherever and put in their claim code. They can then download the album, maybe in their choice of formats – depending on the site, and load it wherever they please. CDs are bulky, take up more space than the download cards, they break easily, and then are only used to rip MP3s into a computer and are now a pain for the fan to store. So skip a step and sell them a download in person. Autograph the card and the fan has a cool keepsake.

SD is the new CD?

Sandisk recently announced the Sansa Sessions, a flash-based micro SD card that holds 50 songs from selected artists.  SanDisk is betting that this MicroSD will become the new format the music is distributed on and all that all artists in the future will be selling MicroSDs instead of CDs.

While I have no doubt there will always be people who prefer a physical format over a digital one,  they’re trying to pull an Apple, except without the suport of open standards.  MP3s and AACs work because they are open standards, thus Apple created the iPod and iTunes to play those formats.  Barely anyone has a MicroSD slot in any device (unless you’re my bro-in-law and have a Sansa), so right off the bat, they have a limited market.  Even the name of the product implies it’s only for Sansa owners – and how many of those are there vs iPod owners?

Musicians go with what’s easy.  CDs are cheap, can be bought just about any where, have been the standard for at least 20 years now, and will work with any brand of CD burner.  It would be years before everyone would have a MicroSD slot in their computer (like they have  CD burner now) and even then I just don’t see this taking off like they hope it will.

So, go luck with that…