Music Retail Graphs

Here’s a really cool set of graphs from Hypebot (read my thoughts below):

MusicRetail R7 Mint Music Retail Graphs

Physical vs Digital:

16% growth in the past two years, wow.  Part of me is still surprised that physical products still outsell digital products.  The other part of me realizes that labels seem to do everything they can to prevent themselves from making money in the digital realm, so it’s not that surprising that physical products still provide most of their income.  Their only hope is that they open up to digital, learn how to make money with it, and reap the benefits.

Digital Retailer Market Share:

No surprise here.  iTunes rules the roost.  I can’t wait to see this chart the year after Spotify gets here.  I bet it will take a sizeable chunk of this chart.  For now, I’ll have to check out this “Other” store though, they seem to doing quite well.  (j/k)

Monthly Transactions Per User:

I really have to wonder if the variable pricing thing has anything to do with the chart going up.  The new iPhone 3GS also came out in July.  In any case, even the modest boost in Rhapsody‘s numbers show that people are very interested in music, we jsut need to have access to it.

Spending:

Simple version:

Subscription services have a steady, predictable, going-along-with-the-pricing-plans numbers here.  Napster lost a bunch of customers while Rhapsody and eMusic gained.

iTunes has the lowest spending per transaction, but has had a slight growth per user.  I’m betting $.69 to $1.29 per track is too high of a price point, otherwise their numbers would be higher in both categories.

FYE and CD Baby have the highest per transaction numbers because people are forced to buy the entire CD at retail prices.  You’ll notice people aren’t spending as much there as before.

Come Get Your Fantasy World!

It’s now time for you to hear what I’ve been working on for the past year.  Fantasy World is now available.  You can get the entire EP as free 128-bit MP3′s from http://music.christopherjoel.com.  Of course, if you’re so inclined, you can also purchase it from there, or any of the following online stores:

Pardon My French

I read this article on Hypebot today and I can’t help saying: WTF??!?!

It appears that performance rights organizations (PROs), ASCAP, BMI, & SESAC, are suing AT&T Mobile over their use of the 30 second clips of songs in order to sell said songs.  These are the same clips that iTunes, Amazon, and pretty much every other digital store use.  The PROs want royalties paid on every single play of those clips, which, if they win, would be billable to all digital stores.

Does anyone else see a problem with this?  While I understand that they are fighting for their writers and all that, why can’t there be a more sensible way of doing this?  Collecting these ridiculous fees from every digital store will mean that the stores have to increase prices, which will directly translate to fewer sales, which will hurt the labels, artists, and writers because they will make less money.  Idiots!

I think I know what’s behind all this though.  The music industry is reeling from the change of power.  They used to tell everyone how, when, and where they can consume entertainment.  Since the dawn of Napster, the iPod, and Myspace, this has changed to the consumer deciding when, where, and how.  Which means labels loose tons of money from not selling whole CDs, but rather singles.  They want their power back.    They attack Net Neutralilty to get rid of file trading (as if that would work).  They attack internet radio (to prevent people from hearing music from just about anywhere).  They push for insane powers from Congress (think DCMA).  They attack terrestrial radio by demanding fees for what amounts to advertising for them.  Then they demand royalties from clips that sell their products.  I swear, some day, they will demand royalties from people who whistle melodies while working or walking down the street.  The idea being, if they can undo all this change and put things back to the way it was (with brick & mortor stores, etc), then they will make tons of money.

One problem: the cat’s already out of the bag.  Sorry guys, but you need to adjust.  Find an innovative way to make money or you will simply die out.  This is the last, desperate screams from an industry that has a terminal disease and is in it’s death throes.  So here are some solutions for you Muzz Buzz, in case you’re reading:

Focus on the fan to artist relationship.  Quit trying to squeeze every last dime of out people, just let them get to know the artists, what they are about, etc and these people will throw money at you.

Become the filter.  It used to be that labels were the filter to all things good.  They picked the cream of the crop, put them out there and everyone knew it was the best stuff around.  Now, labels are a joke.  They sign people who honestly can’t sing and make them into stars.  They put out mediocre bands and let the truly talented ones go indie.  Focus on the talent aspect of music again.  Combined with #1, this an unbeatable formula.  People flock to artists they trust/know who are truly talented.

Learn where to charge for stuff.  Greed always gets the best of these guys and they want to charge for everything (see today’s story as an example).  However, the smart people will realize that if you charge for certain things, yet give the rest away, it will result in huge sums of money coming your way.  The current plan is just going to drive people towards file trading and excludes the industry from making any money at all.  Instead, license the crap our of anything that will distribute your product.  License Bittorrent.  License the ISPs.  License everything.  Make it cheap though.  People want music, but your 80′s & 90′s prices are simply too much.  When the world went digital, prices plumeted.  You just didn’t know it.  Now, people can get whatever they want for free (file trading).  So license this stuff so at least you make SOMETHING from it.  But since it’s digital, its not of hig quality, therefore not worth much.  5 cents per track is reasonable.

Fish your head out of your a$$.  I’ll admit, this probably won’t happen.  Just like most of the ones bove probably won’t happen either.  It was worth a shot.

Napster Launches MP3 Download Store

I’m thinking it’s a little late.  Napster would have been revolutionary with this had it come out five years ago.  Now, they are just another in a series of stores like this and this isn’t really big news.  I’d still sell on there, of course, but it’s not that big of a deal in music biz news.  It’s good that they are branching out and away from the subscription model, which I loath.  If all the download or subscription stores started offering eMusic-type subscriptions (where you pay $x for so many songs per month), then I think they’d make even more money, but apparently no one is that creative or daring just yet.

iTunes subscriptions

I have never liked the idea of subscriptions for music.  You pay $x amount per month and you get to play all the music you want.  Stop paying, you’re outta luck.  It just seems mobster-ish to me, which is par for the course for record labels, but not for Apple.  So I’m a little queezy about the idea of iTunes offering the same thing.  There seems be a giant void for details, so here are my questions:

  1. There is something floating around about paying a premium for a player that comes with a lifetime (of the device) of music.  Is there a pre-determined lifetime for said premium device – as in, even if it’s still working, the premium expires after x years?
  2. What happens to that music after the device dies or the premium ends?
  3. Is this the mobster-esque, pay a fee every month and we’ll provide music.  Stop paying and it’s nite-nite time?  I hate this idea.
  4. Will there be DRM if it is the mobster route  I also hate this.  I was planning to avoid Rhapsody, Napster, and others who force DRM.  I wouldn’t buy this and I wouldn’t sell it either.
  5. Will this work more like eMusic and Limewire, where you pay for a subscription that allows you to download x amount of tunes per month for free and pay per track after that?  This one I could go for…
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